August 4, 2004

Polls are Here! If You Look Close They are Good.

So, the first round of post-DNC polling is out. One thing you will not find is a really big jump for Kerry in the the Bush-Kerry match-up. The best jump is in the ABC poll where Kerry went from being down 48-46 to being up 50-44. That's a swing of 8 points. Other polls had less of a "bounce" and CNN/Gallup had Kerry losing ground! Ahhh. But, before you jump out a window, there is some good news. To find the good news you have to look at other questions that the poll asks. Slate has a good write-up on this. Highlights: Kerry greatly improved his overall approval ratings, and his rating on such issues as having "the personality and leadership qualities a president should have" and "confident in his ability to handle such a crisis." Also DailyKos has some State polls where Kerry did pick up some ground in the polls. In Pennsylvania Kerry went from up 1 to up 12! And in Tennessee he went from down 10 to down 2! These look more like the classic "bounce" that a candidate gets after a convention. As per my earlier post this week the "Swing States" are getting all the attention so maybe they are getting all the bounce.

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