July 25, 2004

Did Clinton Make it Easier for Iraq to Be Sold?

Laws of Unintended Consequences. I have previously written on the humanitarian interventions of the Clinton years, citing Kosovo as a clear success with no U.S. combat deaths and Milosovich on trial. What didn't occur to me until now is that this kind of success could make it easier to sell Iraq. This from Matt Yglesias:

a person of a certain age (say, my age) would have had no examples of military failures that resulted in serious US casualties, and a number of instances where failure to intervene (either at all, or more forcefully, or more swiftly) had contributed to bad outcomes. So even though the Iraq War wasn't really like any of the intervention debates of the 1990s, all that built-in a predisposition to think that an invasion had only a small downside and possibly had a large upside.

So people (young and old) could have been thinking of "wars" like Kosovo and Gulf War I where we got ours with very few casualties. I think that lots of people were thinking that the costs of Gulf War II would be similarly low and thus supported the war and turned against it when the costs have proven to be much higher and growing.

No comments: